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The Challenges Facing the Starmer Government: Public Sector Pay and Benefits

The Starmer government is facing a challenging road ahead as it grapples with the tension between its promised changes and the limited funds available to make them a reality. The first chapters of this story are unfolding with decisions on public sector pay and benefits.

Chancellor Rachel Reeves is reportedly considering an above-inflation pay rise for many public sector workers to avoid potential strikes that could mar the early days of a Labour administration. However, this move comes with a hefty price tag that cannot be covered by borrowing due to the government’s fiscal rules.

With limited options available, Reeves may have to resort to either spending cuts or tax increases to foot the bill. The upcoming announcement by the chancellor on the state of public finances and pay deals will provide insight into the government’s approach.

On the issue of benefits, particularly the controversial two-child cap, the government seems more confident in its position. Despite potential political backlash, Sir Keir Starmer’s strong majority may shield him from significant damage, especially as public opinion seems to support the policy.

Looking ahead, the government faces even greater challenges with an upcoming spending review that will highlight the stark disparity between departmental needs and available resources. From defense to health to social care, tough decisions lie ahead for the government as it navigates the financial constraints of funding public services.

As both parties were criticized during the election campaign for not being transparent about the limited funds available, the pressure is now on Labour to address these issues head-on. The government can no longer afford to stay silent on the financial realities of governing, setting the stage for tough choices and potential conflicts in the months to come.

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